Sunday 7 October 2007

Dr. Strangelove

On the old road to Isfahan we passed a sleepy Natanz where we inspected a few centrifuges.

Five years ago an Iranian dissident group revealed that the government has built a secret uranium enrichment facility in Natanz without informing the UN International Atomic Energy Agency, IAEA. According to the agency Iran cold have 3000 centrifuges hooked up by now. Iran plans to scale up enrichment to 54000 centrifuges and says its nuclear aims are peaceful. The latter claims are disbelieved by many. However it should be noted that the IAEA has as yet found no conclusive evidence that Iran is running a nuclear weapon programme.
The centrifuges are spinning on. So what next? According to the Economist’s special report there could be at least two unhappy endings. In one, Iran ends up with nuclear weapons. In another, America and Israel attack Iran. This would have very dangerous and unpredictable consequences.

Let’s hope reconciliation can be reached soon. Time is short!

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